Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Millwall
26.3%
Draw
27.5%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Millwall
vs
1.20
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).