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DHT: 20CSV

01 Dec 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.3%
Pisa
19.0%
Draw
8.6%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Pisa

vs
0.65

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).