Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Parma
29.7%
Draw
26.6%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Parma
vs
1.02
Lecce
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).