Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Livorno
27.5%
Draw
23.5%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Livorno
vs
1.03
Empoli
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).