Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Genoa
20.5%
Draw
14.1%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Genoa
vs
0.77
Verona
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).