Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.2%
Draw
2.8%
Livyi Bereh
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
0.36
Livyi Bereh
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.7%
3-0
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
4-0
10.8%
2-1
6.0%
5-0
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
1-1
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
0-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).