Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Peterboro
23.8%
Draw
27.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Peterboro
vs
1.03
Exeter
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).