Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Ipswich
25.1%
Draw
18.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Ipswich
vs
0.91
Swansea
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).