Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Bristol City
26.9%
Draw
33.2%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bristol City
vs
1.33
Hull
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).