Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Crotone
26.3%
Draw
49.3%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Crotone
vs
1.69
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).