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27 Sept 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.7%
Santander
19.5%
Draw
17.8%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

2.20

Santander

vs
1.09

Andorra

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).