Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Pau FC
21.0%
Draw
53.9%
Dunkerque
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Pau FC
vs
1.86
Dunkerque
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).