Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Malaga
22.9%
Draw
26.0%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Malaga
vs
1.22
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).