Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Schalke 04
30.6%
Draw
35.9%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Schalke 04
vs
1.20
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).