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DHT: 10CSV

25 Apr 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.8%
Red Star
24.6%
Draw
25.6%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Red Star

vs
0.95

Clermont

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).