Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Legia Warszawa
26.2%
Draw
38.2%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Legia Warszawa
vs
1.53
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).