Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Perugia
25.1%
Draw
15.7%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Perugia
vs
0.81
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).