Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Morecambe
20.3%
Draw
63.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Morecambe
vs
1.96
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).