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25 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Accrington
31.4%
Draw
39.0%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Accrington

vs
1.00

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS35.1%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
0-0
15.6%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).