Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Chelsea
20.9%
Draw
12.9%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Chelsea
vs
0.93
West Ham
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).