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18 Oct 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Dunkerque
24.9%
Draw
28.2%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Dunkerque

vs
1.01

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).