Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Sheffield Weds
28.3%
Draw
51.3%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.47
Preston
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).