Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Perugia
29.7%
Draw
50.2%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Perugia
vs
1.41
Genoa
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).