Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Elgin
26.7%
Draw
31.4%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Elgin
vs
1.50
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).