Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Chesterfield
25.2%
Draw
37.6%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Chesterfield
vs
1.33
Bradford
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).