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13 Feb 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Ingolstadt
30.4%
Draw
34.2%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Ingolstadt

vs
1.17

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).