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AHT: 01CSV

09 Dec 2023 · 12:30

Leeds

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Blackburn
23.5%
Draw
65.4%
Leeds

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Blackburn

vs
1.79

Leeds

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
1-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).