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01 Oct 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Pescara
28.9%
Draw
37.3%
Sudtirol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Pescara

vs
1.34

Sudtirol

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).