Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Oviedo
25.2%
Draw
22.3%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Oviedo
vs
0.92
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).