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AHT: 01CSV

17 Feb 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
Reggiana
30.7%
Draw
36.5%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Reggiana

vs
1.20

Ternana

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).