Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Union Berlin
26.2%
Draw
51.1%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Union Berlin
vs
1.63
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).