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22 Dec 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Brechin
23.4%
Draw
65.5%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Brechin

vs
2.02

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
1-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).