Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Lorient
20.3%
Draw
26.6%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Lorient
vs
1.33
Metz
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).