Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Oldham
24.4%
Draw
24.1%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Oldham
vs
1.22
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).