Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.0%
Chesterfield
10.1%
Draw
4.9%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Chesterfield
vs
0.82
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.560.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
4-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
4.4%
3-2
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).