Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Chesterfield
22.1%
Draw
46.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Chesterfield
vs
1.79
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).