Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Lincoln
21.6%
Draw
16.9%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Lincoln
vs
0.75
Exeter
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).