Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
St Pauli
30.5%
Draw
22.2%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
St Pauli
vs
0.81
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).