Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Boulogne
25.4%
Draw
46.2%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Boulogne
vs
1.35
Troyes
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).