Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
St Etienne
19.5%
Draw
25.9%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
St Etienne
vs
1.47
Troyes
Markets
BTTS67.9%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).