Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Heidenheim
27.6%
Draw
49.1%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Heidenheim
vs
1.51
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).