Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Bordeaux
20.6%
Draw
29.0%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Bordeaux
vs
1.41
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).