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HHT: 11CSV

01 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Hamburg
23.6%
Draw
55.8%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Hamburg

vs
1.92

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).