Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Millwall
28.9%
Draw
30.3%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Millwall
vs
1.12
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).