Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
AFC Wimbledon
25.6%
Draw
42.6%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.29
Bolton
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).