Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Exeter
23.6%
Draw
13.6%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Exeter
vs
0.58
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).