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HHT: 11CSV

17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
Gillingham
23.4%
Draw
21.3%
Newport County

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Gillingham

vs
0.93

Newport County

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).