Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Cosenza
34.2%
Draw
39.5%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Cosenza
vs
1.07
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.4%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).