Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Nottingham Forest
29.2%
Draw
43.9%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.49
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).