Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Karagumruk
30.9%
Draw
40.0%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Karagumruk
vs
1.53
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).